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Wednesday, April 3, 2019

Economic and monetary union

Economic and m anetary unionIdentify and contr everywheret the be and avails of link the Economic and financial Union (electromagnetic unit)? Do the benefits come forwardweigh the costs?Thesis StatementThe Economic M acetary Union has been the concentre of pro massiveed debates as to whether a estate joining it go away either create benefits or drawbacks. During the course of this analytical constitution, both costs and benefits result be identified and explained in enact to judicate the feasibility of joining the EMU and a specific country allow be chosen to expand this elevate.IntroductionTo understand the concept behind the creation of the Economic monetary Union, the over on the whole objective of the European Union moldiness firstly be understood. Since the end of the World War II, European political forces engender been attempting to connect forces in localize to escape the extreme forces of subject fieldism which were seen as unsustainable. Industries wer e evolving and bloodline to compete globally, international mass throughout the populace expanded at an exponential judge and some felt it had to be regu newd in order to maximise the gains achievabe. As a result, the European Union was banding up in 1993 with X. Its primary principles argon of a mavin mart with no barriers to pot in goods and services or to capital and force movements, competition and social policies, co-ordinated macro economical polity and a harmonised monetary insurance convention _or_ system of government. In order to regulate these aspects effectively the EU set up a body named the Economic Monetary Union. This was seen as potentially a contender to the widely switchd and valued US dollar and as the ascendant to deepening the desegregation of the European Union.The EMU is characterised by the following policies, policy harmonisation to remove barriers to improve mobility, a common monetary policy which states there is one inte peace of mind ra te and exchange rate policy determined by the Central Bank, fixed exchange place via the angiotensin-converting enzyme silver and the pooling of foreign exchange reserves. The evolution of the EMU began in the late 1980s and was characterised by three salutes set out by the Delors stem in 1993. The first stage was devoted to ensuring all outgrowth states liaison in the Exchange Rate Mechanism and improved policy co-ordination and the remotion of barriers to capital flows. The second stage consisted of the creation of the European Monetary make up (EMI) and central banks becoming independent from their national governments (January 1994). Finally the go bad stage involved fixing the participating currencies and creating the European System of Central Banks which takes over the responsibility for monetary and exchange rate policies and finally the Stability and festering pact came into force by January of 1999 to ensure member states that do non comply to the EMU principles are fined or sanctioned. During this evolution in 1992 12 countries gestural the Maastricht agreement, which fundamentally was the root of the accounting entry of the Euro. During 1992 and 1997 the convergence criteria was set out which stated that in order for a country to join it must reach a low and immutable splashiness, stable exchange rates and stable public finances and by 1999 the countries officially joined the EMU. nonwithstanding as the Euro could not be introduced overnight, there was a transition dot in order to allow the member states to adapt to the new coin and after three days, by 2002, the euro was officially the single currency for all European union member states.Initially the transition period was considered a triumph by European Union members, but as individuals ( generally economists) sight the evolution, many critics are still debating whether joining the EMU and endorsing the euro brings success or just adds to the ever amounting issues each mem ber states are already experiencing. This head will be thoroughly explored throughout the course of this analytical report and a balanced argument will be drawn from the breeding available as to whether the EMU carries with it primarily, benefits or costs to a member state joining.The Economic Monetary Union is considered to be one of the major(ip) steps in integrating a before divided Europe, as people and businesses could begin moving and trading freely as trade barriers were removed, the currency becomes to a greater extent stable, financial markets are integrated, the cost of exchanging currencies was eliminated, transaction costs reduced and theoretically increased competition amongst countries which is a whimsical factor in keeping outlays low and productivity high which is both favourable for consumers and businesses. These benefits must be more deeply explored in order to comprehend the extent to which they have aided success or deepened the complex network in Europe.T he success of the EMU has been difficult to quantify as its revolutionary principles have hardly been recently enforced, however the theoretical benefits are supposed to be more easily identifiable in the long run as more member states join and European integration is extended to particularly the eastern European community. Debra Johnson and Colin Turner state that one of the major benefits, the elimination of transaction costs in intra-EU trade, have only saved 0.5% of the EUs GDP and that SMEs which predominantly serve local markets, will not benefit extensively from this. However as undefeated SMEs usually have high exports they cornerstone expect a favourable return from the introduction of the Euro.The EMU is also responsible for the lowering of interest rates. Various studies draw out that decentralised monetary policies cause a bias in inflation and public spending (Sibert 1992, Levine 1993, and Levine and Brociner 1994) and therefore are in favour of the co-ordinated fi scal policies in a monetary union.The single European market after part bring numerous benefits to a joining country such as the price transparency. It is still considered too early to quantify precisely the percentage point to which it has helped and many argue that the EMU must speed up the price convergence through enabling consumers to compare prices across member states more easily. This in turn could facilitate a lowering or airlift in in labour costs and could change supply patterns resulting in a more stabilised and fair souricng of resources for firms and possibly improve comparability throughtout the European union. These benefits are possibly achievable but have not yet been completely achieved as these processes take prison term and co-operation and some rely these are not present in todays European society as the recession has caused political and financial in stability.The EMU has the potential to create tremendous gains for the member states but these will not be visible or quantifiable in the near future as it is a by the bye process of evolution, this therefore poses a risk of infection of not only time consumption but also of resources both nationally and individually and on with the few drawbacks of joining the EMU, critics believe the EMU is not the optimum picking for accredited countries in Europe.The drawbacks of joining the EMU are considered to not outperform the benefits by the majority of observers but still must be considered thoroughly before joining a revolutionary body which causes a country to enter a short-term of deflation, the loss of the exchange rate peter which is considered a tool of national economic policy, the potential problems related to a lack of real convergence and potential policy conflicts and finally the unworthiness of one monetary policy for many states. These will be analysed and explored in order to conclude whether these exceed the benefits even considering the majority of parties disagree .The main risk of joining the EMU is the differences in trade cycles between countries, this is one of the onus reasons as to why the UK is yet to join. European countries have differing economic statuses and languages, which fundamentally are essential in permitting countries to maximise the gains achievable from a single currency. It is therefore argued that more attention needs to be given to how economies can enhance their factor mobility to balance out the differences found in differing countries. viscidity funds are the possible solution to the problem but today there are still great differences across the member states in harm of economic performance and labour mobility. This raises the legitimate question whether one monetary policy can fit all member states.The globe today is experiencing an economic recession which is highlighted one of the major issues with joiing the Economic Monetary Union as governments from member states are obliged through the stability and growth pact to keep to the Maastricht criteria meaning they cannot regulate or modify fiscal and monetary policies in order to alleviate the problems arising from a receeding saving. Countries would not be able to devalue to pressurize exports, to borrow more to boost job creation or to decrease taxes because of the public deficit criterion.The most debated issue with joining the economic monetary union is the loss of national sovereignty. This would result in more established and developed states having to co-operate with the less stable and strong economic countries which are more tolerant to higher infation rates.Finally, the last drawback of joining the EMU is the initial cost of introducing the single currency. This issue is mainly debated in the UK as the British Retailing Consortium estimated that British retailers will have to pay between 1.7 billion and 3.5 billion in order for the Euro to be introduced. However it is argued that the one off cost does not outweigh the long-ru n benefits obtainable from the policies and regulation and that if more countries join the EMU these benefits will be amplified even further.Robert Mundell and Abba Lerner(1960s) believed in a currency area. This is a aggroup of countries that maintain their separate currencies but fix the exchange rates between themselves permanently (Nello, 2009205). The optimal currency region (OCR) is the idealistic view that an whole region sharing a single currency can benefit extensively the efficiency of the member states economies. It states the optimal characteristics needed for a successful economic integration to occur. These are optimal labour mobility across the region, bareness with capital mobility and price and wage flexibility across the region and an machine rifle fiscal transfer mechanism to redistribute money to areas/sectors which have been negatively affected by the first two characteristics.Supportive EvidenceThe UK has the worlds fourth largest economy and the EUs secon d largest and is consequently one of the primary targets of speculation as to whether the benefits outweigh the costs of joining the EMU. In 1999, The Chancellor of the Exchequer, Gordon Brown express that although the government supported the principle of a single currency, Britain would not join. This purpose was based on various factors that could have caused rifts in the country. In terms of trade it was seens as un feasible to join because the UK has the lowest level of intra-EU trade and therefore is more vulnerable to fluctuations in external countries. The UK is vulnerable compared to the rest of the EU counties to potential unfavourable interest rates set by the Central Bank because it has one of the highest percentages of home owners potentially leaving British mortgage holders in a state of crisis. Another characteristic that drive the UK to not favour the joining of the EMU is its position as an fossil oil color producer and exporter meaning it is harshly affected b y changes in oil prices, however as the quantity of oil diminuishes at an ever expanding rate and the gradual transition to more sustainable energy resources means that this is not as important as it was when the EMU was introduced a decage ago.These issues are feasible arguments to the absence of the UK in joining the EMU however as the countries that have joined the EMU continue to attract foreign direct investments, the UK has been jeopardise by foreign investors that the Euro zone is becoming a more attractive zone to trade with because of its increased stability. The United Nations Conference on Trade and reading released information on the World Investment Report in the form of a bar graph clearly illustrating the downward trend of indwelling FDI of the UK compared to the general upward trend of the countries with the EMU.As clearly illustrated by turn 1.0, the UK continued to attract FDI from 1992 until 2000, where it increased five-fold from 20 billion in 1992-1997 to s ome 120 billion U.S dollars in 2000. However by 2003 this figure drastically fell to below 20 billion, which was less that it was almost ten years before. Whilst France, Netherlands, Spain and Ireland all either increased or stabilised by 2000 and resumed until 2003. This is further evidence that the UK should consider joining the EMU, in order to guarantee long-term success. As more countries join, currently 26 today, the EMU is ever appressed to achieving an optimal currency area (Mundell, 1973) creating, idealistically speaking, a perfectly harmonized economy and resulting in countries flourishing.ConclusionIn a perfect world, the EMUs potential benefits would be endless but due to unforeseeable fluctuations in economies, labour mobility, and ad hominem matters it is difficult to quantify the benefits and costs of joining the EMU. Especially with the recent economic downturn the risk of joining the EMU has been even more re-considered by certain countries especially the U.K. Ho wever these drawbacks are limited and do not outweigh the vast benefits achievable from embracing a single currency and single European market as it would guarantee to a certain extent the long-term success of a country as harmonization and stabilisation will cause consumers to be given better prices and businesses to trade more efficiently creating a, arguably, more competent country.Establishment of the Maastricht Treaty which was signed by twelve countries in 1992, which set out the convergence criteria, ultimatThe Maastricht Treaty of 1992 established a single currency, the euro, and on January 1st 2002, the EMU began use the euro.The EMU was created in 1992 It has stringent conditions and objectives which countries have to meet via signing the Maastricht Treaty. With joining the EMU, the euro must be endorsed and therefore the monetary policies become the responsibility of the European Central Bank and national central banks of member states. Essentially they are co-ordinatin g the monetary and fiscal aspects of the member countries.Sovereignty

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